Executive Summary
April– Q2 – 2025
Positive Indicators
•Continued Consumer Spending: Robust consumer spending is a key driver of the economy. Economists believe that the current surge in spending stems from concerns over tariff implementation.
•Labor Market: While loosening since January 2023, the labor market remains strong.
•Slowing Inflation: Inflation is showing signs of slowing from its peak.
Concerns and Challenges:
•Tariffs: The potential for trade wars are creating uncertainty and potential for negative impacts on global trade and economic growth.
•Stock Market Volatility: The stock market has experienced significant fluctuations, influenced by criticism of the Federal Reserve.
•Recession Risks: Analysts are expressing concerns about a potential recession, citing weakening consumer sentiment/hiring trends.
•GDP: The US economy contracted in Q1 for the first time since 2022 amid import/export challenges surrounding tariffs.
Gross Domestic Product
Understanding the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy. Updated for April 2025
Employment
Supply of and demand for labor is a major component of any economy and is intricately linked to markets for…
Housing
Essential sectors of the economy but also both have been the source of vulnerabilities and crises. Updated for April 2025
Consumer Confidence
Appears to be correlated with the strength of the economy at the time of the survey as consumers dictate the…
Inflation
Sustained and broad rise in the prices of goods and services over time…a small but positive inflation rate is economically…
Other key indicators
Other impactful and timely insights into key economic indicators. Updated for April 2025